EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1433; (P) 1.1458; (R1) 1.1479; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral for some consolidation below 1.1482 temporary top. While further rally cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2265 to 1.1185 at 1.1598 to finish the corrective rise from 1.1185. On the downside, below 1.1284 support will bring retest of 1.1185 low. However, sustained break of 1.1598 will argue that the trend is reversing already.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways of interpreting the fall from 1.2348 (2021 high). It could be a correction to rise from 1.0635 (2020 low), the fourth leg of a sideway pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low), or resuming long term down trend. In any case, outlook will now stay bearish as long as 1.1703 support turned resistance holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1289 would pave the way back to 1.0635.