EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1886; (P) 1.1938; (R1) 1.1969; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point as range trading continues. On the upside, break of 1.1989 will resume the rebound form 1.1834 for 55 day EMA (now at 1.2033). Sustained trading above 55 day EMA will indicate completion of correction from 1.2348 and bring retest of this high. On the downside, however, break of 1.1834 will extend the correction from 1.2348 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1694.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. We’d be alerted to topping sign around 1.2516/55. But sustained break there will carry long term bullish implications.