GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2726; (P) 1.2823; (R1) 1.2920; More…

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook as intraday bias remains on the downside. Sustained break of 50% retracement of 1.1958 to 1.3514 at 1.2736 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2552. We’d look for strong support from there to bring rebound. But break of 1.3018 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, risk will remain on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current decline from 1.3514 is seen as corrective the rally form 1.1958. Such rally is expected to resume latter to 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. However, sustained break of 1.2582 resistance turned support will dampen these views and bring retest of 1.1958 low instead.