USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.59; (P) 109.74; (R1) 109.91; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 110.01 temporary top. Further rise remains in favor as long 108.30 support holds. On the upside, above 110.01 will target 110.28 first. Break will resume larger rebound from 104.45 and target medium term falling channel resistance at 111.19.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.