USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.05; (P) 110.17; (R1) 110.29; More..

With 109.79 minor support, further rise is expected in USD/JPY. Current rally from 104.45 should target 100% projection of 106.48 to 109.72 from 107.65 at 110.89 next. On the downside, , break of 109.79 support will indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 109.07).

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). There is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Hence, rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.