GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.47; (P) 143.80; (R1) 144.38; More…

GBP/JPY’s recovery from 140.83 extends higher today but stays below 144.36 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Correction from 147.95 could extend. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 139.31/77 (38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77) to bring rebound. On the upside, above 144.36 will bring retest of 147.95 resistance. However, sustained break of 139.77 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 134.71.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.