USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3037; (P) 1.3052; (R1) 1.3073; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral first and outlook is unchanged. With 1.3102 resistance intact, further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.2951 will resume larger decline to 100% projection of 1.3564 to 1.3016 from 1.3327 at 1.2779 next. However, sustained break of 1.3102 will confirm short term bottoming and target 55 day EMA (now at 1.3142) and above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.3664, after failing 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. However, structure of price actions from 1.3664 argues that it’s probably just a corrective move. Hence, while further fall is expected, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.2673. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.2673 will put focus on 1.2061 low.