USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 107.76; (P) 108.20; (R1) 108.55; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside with 108.47 minor resistance intact. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 104.45 to 109.72 at 107.70 will bring deeper fall to 106.48 cluster support (61.8% retracement at 106.46). On the upside, above 108.47 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring recovery. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 109.72 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Recovery from 104.45 also failed to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 109.02). Overall outlook remains bearish and fall from 118.65 is in favor to extend through 104.45 low. This will now stay as the favored case as long as 109.72 resistance holds.