EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0967; (P) 1.0998; (R1) 1.1013; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0967 minor support suggests rise rise from 1.0863 has completed. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 1.0811/63 support zone. Decisive break there will indicate larger down trend resumption. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065).

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.