EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6237; (P) 1.6262; (R1) 1.6291; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral for consolidation below 1.6323. With 1.6202 minor support intact, further rise is mildly in favor. On the upside, above 1.6323 will target 1.6432 resistance. However, break of 1.6202 will argue that rebound from 1.5976 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.5894/5905 key support zone again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6069) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.