EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.98; (P) 129.97; (R1) 130.51; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 129.56 minor support suggests temporary toping at 130.86. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. As long as 38.2% retracement of 124.89 to 130.86 at 128.57 holds, another rise is mildly in favor. Above 130.86 will target resistance zone between 131.97 and 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56. Break will indicate larger bullish reversal. However, firm break of 128.57 will argue that rebound from 124.89 has completed, and it’s the third leg of consolidation pattern from 124.61. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 124.61 low.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY once again rebounded ahead of 124.08 key resistance turned support. It’s also held above long term trend line from 109.03 (2016 low). The development argues that such rise from 109.03 might now be over yet. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56 will pave the way to retest 137.49 high. But, firm break of 124.08 will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next.