USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9892; (P) 0.9930; (R1) 0.9952; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Deeper fall should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9780 and possibly below. But fall from 1.0067 is see as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.0056. Hence, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9981 will bring retest of 1.0067 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.