EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1425; (P) 1.1455 (R1) 1.1516; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 1.1300 short term bottom is still in progress. While further rally would be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1745 resistance to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1444 minor support will suggest that the rebound is completed. Intraday bias would be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1300 low.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 1.2555 medium term is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186. Note again that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. That carries some long term bearish implications. Sustained break of 1.1186 could pave the way back to retest 1.0339 low. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779 holds, even in case of strong rebound.