EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.14; (P) 126.33; (R1) 126.59; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 124.89 extended higher and breached 126.98 resistance. But there is no follow through rally yet. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. As long as 126.98 minor resistance holds, deeper fall could still be seen. But considering mild bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, downside should be contained by 124.08/61 key support zone to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 126.98 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to upside for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 128.88).

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 124.08 key resistance turned support. Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 109.03 and below. Meanwhile, rebound from 124.08 will keep medium term bullishness intact for another high above 137.49.