EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5593; (P) 1.5627; (R1) 1.5668; More….

EUR/AUD recovers further today but struggles to stay above 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.5677) 1.5677 so far. Intraday bias remains neutral and another decline is mildly in favor. Below 1.5578 will resume the fall from 1.5888 to 61.8% retracement of 1.5271 to 1.5888 at 1.5507. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.5271 low. Nonetheless, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA will bring retest of 1.5888 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 1.5271 was somewhat weaker than expected. EUR/AUD also failed to sustain above 55 day EMA and hints on some underlying bearishness. Though, for now, as long as 1.5271 support holds, medium term rise from m 1.3624 (2017 low) is still mildly in favor to extend through 1.6189 high, to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 1.5271 will complete a head and shoulder top pattern (ls: 1.5770, h: 1.6189, rs: 1.5888). That would indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.