USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.95; (P) 111.41; (R1) 111.72; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with today’s recovery. Overall outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 113.17 is still unfolding. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 112.14 will target a test on 113.17 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds.