USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.79; (P) 111.02; (R1) 111.26; More…

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation from 110.58 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Still, as long as 111.53 minor resistance holds, correction from 113.17 could extend lower. Below 110.58 will turn bias to the downside. But we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 111.53 will turn bias to the upside for retesting 113.17 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds.