EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1586; (P) 1.1631 (R1) 1.1688; More…..

EUR/USD is staying in range below 1.1790 despite a strong rebound today. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Overall outlook remain bearish and downside breakout is expected, sooner or later. Firm break of 1.1507 will resume whole decline from 1.2555, through 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. On the upside, in case of another rise as consolidation extends, upside should be limited by 1.1851 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.