AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7306; (P) 0.7374; (R1) 0.7425; More…

AUD/USD failed to break 0.7309 low and recovered. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Outlook remain bearish though and downside breakout is expected sooner or later. Decisive break of 0.7309 and sustained trading below 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326) will extend the fall from 0.8135 to 0.7158 support next. On the upside, in case of another rise, upside should be limited below 0.7676 resistance to bring larger fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.7676 resistance holds.