EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1641; (P) 1.1699 (R1) 1.1734; More…..

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook. Corrective rise from 1.1507 should have completed at 1.1790 already. Intraday bias stays mildly on the downside for retesting retesting 1.1507 first. Break will resume larger fall from 1.2555. In that case, EUR/USD should drop through 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. On the upside, in case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.1851 resistance to bring reversal.

In the bigger picture, EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.