EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.34; (P) 127.64; (R1) 128.13; More….

EUR/JPY rises sharply higher to 129.14 today but stays well below 130.33 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 130.33 resistance will confirm resumption of rise from 124.61. That will also revive the case of near term reversal and turn bias to the upside for 133.47 key resistance. On the downside, break of 127.13 will resume the fall from 130.33 and target a test on 124.61 low. This will also affirm the case that larger decline from 137.49 is still in progress.

In the bigger picture, despite rebounding strongly ahead of 124.08 resistance turned support, there was no clear follow through buying. Note again that there is bearish divergence in daily MACD. Firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below. Nonetheless, decisive break of 133.47 key resistance will likely extend the rise from 109.03 through 137.49 high.