EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1558; (P) 1.1592 (R1) 1.1642; More…..

A temporary low is in place at 1.1542 in EUR/USD with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.1851 resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 1.1509 will resume larger decline from 1.2555 through 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.