USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2997; (P) 1.3054; (R1) 1.3163; More…..

USD/CAD surges to as high as 1.3140 so far today and breaches 1.3124 key resistance. The development suggests resumption of whole rebound from 1.2061. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 100% projection of 1.2246 to 1.3124 from 1.2526 at 1.3404 next. On the downside, break of 1.2948 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the current development affirms our bullish view. That is, firstly, rebound from 1.2061 is not finished yet. Secondly, the medium term decline from 1.4689 (2016 high) has completed and the trend is reversing. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 will confirm our view and target 61.8% retracement at 1.3685 and above. 1.3685. However, break of 1.2526 support will dampen this bullish view again. And, focus will be back on 1.2061 key support level, which is close to 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048.